Takes on College Football: Against the Spread, Week Six

It’s Week Six and we ain’t gettin’ any younger. It’s rough out here. But we’ll try once again. Here are our best guess on the best bets of the week! Avoid at all costs, though.

2021 ATS Record
Blaine Duncan: 8-6-1 (Week Five: 1-2)
TD Wood: 7-8 (Week Five: 1-2)

Blaine Duncan
What good is a 1-2 week? At least going 0-3 means you took swings, maybe. I knew I didn’t like picking Ole Miss. Thanks, Lane. (Truth be told, I don’t think Lane liked his prediction, either.)

Oklahoma vs. Texas (+3) — It’s not an official home game for Texas, but it’s in that god dam big state. Being at the State Fair in Dallas is close enough to a home game for me to see Texas at home dogs. Not only do I think that the Longhorns have a shot at the spread, but I think they’ll get the outright win here over the Sooners. The Red River Shootout Rivalry could be a good one this year. 

Oregon State (-3.5) at Washington State — I’m a bit surprised this line opened where it did. Coach Smith has the Beavers playing as good as they have in years and the Cougs aren’t anything special. I like them to break the seven-game losing streak to Washington State and set themselves up for more damage in the PAC-12. It feels good, too, to pick one of my favorite teams in the nation. 

Penn State at Iowa (-2) — I’ll use some dumbed down logic that I try not to fall into, but: Penn State seems as if they’re getting some respect for not just being undefeated but for beating a ranked Auburn team, who are actually getting by on their seat of their pants from that dumb-ass Auburn luck that rears its head every other year. If you look at the scoreboard for Auburn games, you think they’re doing fine. They’re destined to continue shit wins that look okay in hindsight due to the score or they’ll suffer a couple of big losses that expose them and Harsin. Penn State has to travel into Hawkeye territory and Iowa has only one quality win as of yet: Iowa State. I think Iowa’s the better team here overall.  

***

TD Wood
What Blaine said, but instead of trusting Ole Miss my sin was not trusting the Georgia defense (still not sold on the offense, but I digress). Mammoth tilts in the Big 12 and Big 10 this weekend, as conference races get rolling around the country.

Michigan State (-4.5) at Rutgers — The only time I’ve ever really cared for Rutgers was when I used them in a NCAA Football dynasty with some friends. I somehow landed a 5* WR and my offense was 90% passes to him. Didn’t always win, but drove my friends crazy. Anyway, I like Sparty big.

Alabama (-18) at Texas A&M — Give me one damn reason to think the Aggies can score more on Bama than the Ole Miss offense? I’m not really sure I’m much impressed by their defense either, frankly. I don’t think this is 59-0 bad, but it ain’t gonna be pretty.

*Game of the Week* Penn State (+2) at Iowa — The Hawkeyes have a formidable defense, and Kinnick Stadium is always a tough place to play, but I like Penn State’s offense and résumé a hell of a lot more than Iowa’s. 

 

Note: All games are Against the Spread. Odds are taken from the MGM Sportsbook.