Takes on College Football: Against the Spread, Week Twelve

As far as spreads and outcomes go against said spreads, it’s been a weirder season than last year! But we keep on trucking. It’s our best (worst?) guess on the best bets with the least stress.

2021 ATS Record
Blaine Duncan: 15-17-1 (Week Eleven: 2-1)
TD Wood: 15-18 (Week Eleven: 1-2 )

Blaine Duncan
Always one not to look at gift horse in the mouth, I appreciate the 2-1 bounce back last week, but I’ve yet to get an undefeated week this season. Here’s another go. 

Arizona State at Oregon State (+3) — I’m just going off statistics here: the Sun Devils just aren’t great as favorites these past three years. And you know what else? Despite that record, the Beavers are sort of good! They’ll get the home-field win! Go Beavs!

Texas at West Virginia (-2.5) — The Longhorns are in a tailspin. Have you seen the video? Yikes. I don’t think they get a road win here. The Mountaineers aren’t anything to write home about, but I like that they’re playing on their own field and have more stability than Texas. 

Cal (-1.5) at Stanford — This game is so ugly, Bill Clinton wouldn’t flirt with it. But I believe that the Golden Bears will win because of the extra rest last week. 

***

TD Wood
You know, once upon a time I was good at this. Maybe I need to start drinking Old Grandad six nights a week again? 

*Game of the week* Michigan State (+19) at Ohio State — I might be placing too much on the Spartans results before the Purdue loss, and I may be underestimating just how good that Buckeye offense is… but damn, 19 is a lot of points for a team that likes to slow things down and has a Heisman-worthy running back. 

SMU (+11.5) at Cincinnati — The Mustangs bounced back last week with a big win over UCF, after dropping their previous two to Houston and Memphis. The Bearcats had a rebound of sorts of their own in a comfortable — if not as resounding as it should’ve been — win over USF after a few close calls. Cincy needs the style points to improve their positioning with the CFP selection committee, but I don’t see SMU rolling over that easily.

Oregon (+3.5) at Utah — The Ducks are the classic “plays to their opponent’s level” team. They struggle in games they should win easily; but, to their credit, they get up for their big ones. Mario Cristobal will have his team ready for the road test against the Utes, in what could be a preview of the PAC-12 title game.

 

Note: All games are Against the Spread. Odds are taken from the MGM Sportsbook.