Takes on College Football: Against the Spread, Week Seven

NCAA_Background_Logos.jpgWe are not experts. If you go by these picks, you’re bound to be lose money or it’s possible that you’ll finally be able to pay off all those student loans! You never know! Each week, two crazy, lazy writers at The Alabama Take give their best guess at the best bets with the lowest stress. It’s our college football picks of the week!

2018 ATS Record
Blaine Duncan: 11-6 (Week Six: 1-2)
T.D. Wood: 11-7 (Week Six: 3-0)

Blaine Duncan
Going 1-2, making me an overall 55%, isn’t pleasant. That percentage is still in the  money, but I’m ready to see if I can’t do better. (A quick thanks to Texas for helping last weekend not be a complete bust.)

Wisconsin (+10) at Michigan: Wisconsin feels undervalued here because their season seems less than stellar since that loss to BYU earlier in the season. Two things are likely to happen this weekend when the Badgers head to the Wolverines home base: Wisconsin gets an outright win or keeps it within three points or less. The Badgers have a solid quarterback and offensive line, and I don’t doubt that they still have some gas left in the tank. I’m taking the road dogs here.

Michigan State at Penn State (-13): I’m big on bounce-back teams this year, and Penn State is in a great position to cover here, especially after a week to recover from the emotional lost to Ohio State. Michigan State just lacks the caliber of talent that the Nittany Lions are showing game after game this year, though Sparty will put up a fight. In the fourth, expect James Franklin with the help of QB Trace McSorley to pull away to a two-touchdown victory.

West Virginia at Iowa State (+6.5): Since being under the tutelage of Matt Campbell, Iowa State perform well when home dogs. Although only 6th in the Big 12, they have hung in there with teams that should’ve crushed them: Oklahoma only beat them by ten points while TCU had to have a field goal for the three-point win over the Cyclones. This is not to mention that Iowa State won against Oklahoma State last weekend. This one is a tricky game for West Virginia — I’m putting the #6 Mountainers on upset alert this week.

 

T.D. Wood
Hot damn, 3-0! Texas got a Stoops fired at Oklahoma (just not the one they  wanted, and a few years too late), the Seminoles covered but blew a huge lead to drop their second straight to rival Miami, and Dan Mullen got his first signature win as Gator head coach. This week I’m gonna look at Georgia heading down to Baton Rouge, a big Pac-12 rivalry game, and a Big Ten matchup with two teams going opposite directions.

Georgia (-7) at LSU: I wasn’t very confident in the Tigers last week, and last week didn’t do anything to change that. This week they have a home game (even if the whole Death Valley thing is overrated) against the Dawgs of Georgia. A whole touchdown seems like a lot to give on the road, but I think the wheels are about to come off in Baton Rouge. Georgia wins easily.

Washington (-3.5) at Oregon: The Huskies have been on a mission since their opening week loss to Auburn, and they know that one more loss eliminates them from playoff consideration. Oregon seems pointed in the right direction, but Washington takes this battle of Pacific Northwest rivals.

Wisconsin (+10) at Michigan: Another road team? I know, I know. But, ten points?! Really? I know everyone is down on the Badgers since the loss to BYU, but is Michigan really the better team in this one? They may win, but it’s gonna be close either way.

Note: All games are Against the Spread. Odds are taken from the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.

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